Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 4.124993 4.444858 4.791264 5.196758 5.661623 6.181866 6.813816
2025-11-16 3.546832 3.973858 4.468098 5.091719 5.871663 6.835380 8.151386
2025-11-23 3.270740 3.760680 4.353942 5.143656 6.198277 7.609366 9.743136
2025-11-30 3.052324 3.576700 4.233368 5.144281 6.426596 8.261984 11.306668
2025-12-07 2.811310 3.335540 4.006856 4.964640 6.363879 8.468083 12.219275
2025-12-14 2.611937 3.129390 3.803843 4.788151 6.270828 8.596389 13.017795
2025-12-21 2.494879 3.020945 3.720001 4.766244 6.398054 9.087267 14.623058
2025-12-28 2.390018 2.920454 3.637232 4.734118 6.499561 9.546424 16.329915
2026-01-04 2.279176 2.804440 3.523426 4.642920 6.490331 9.801296 17.687130
2026-01-11 2.212412 2.744787 3.484772 4.661325 6.663552 10.427888 20.241072
2026-01-18 2.169057 2.714727 3.485796 4.740089 6.949156 11.338617 24.137402
2026-01-25 2.184569 2.768170 3.612390 5.031922 7.663534 13.366323 33.577626
2026-02-01 2.095425 2.671297 3.513999 4.954687 7.696907 13.923463 38.733506
2026-02-08 2.002515 2.565763 3.398010 4.840997 7.650822 14.301357 43.965167
2026-02-15 1.954055 2.522999 3.376230 4.888287 7.940693 15.675774 58.118563
2026-02-22 1.899712 2.468251 3.331312 4.888846 8.130992 16.860863 76.144633
2026-03-01 1.815488 2.364474 3.201752 4.723423 7.929299 16.775867 82.910522
2026-03-08 1.737464 2.267227 3.078238 4.560605 7.714566 16.596838 88.884475
2026-03-15 1.692991 2.219489 3.032876 4.540374 7.826478 17.568468 118.333530
2026-03-22 1.649677 2.171692 2.984759 4.510697 7.911852 18.499046 162.285886
2026-03-29 1.598851 2.110349 2.911198 4.426398 7.852950 18.873625 204.726514
2026-04-05 1.569565 2.081459 2.890428 4.443418 8.049680 20.385809 372.321419
2026-04-12 1.551689 2.069646 2.897638 4.516214 8.403483 22.841751 1478.449560